Sabato Calls Gov Race a "Toss-up"
Sabato monitors campaigns and elections throughout the country and has a lot to do in developing the "conventional wisdom" so often quoted by the media. Sabato certainly has found a successful niche, but I haven't see much evidence that he has any more insight into the races than anyone else who pays close attention to the political scene. But since he is a relative heavyweight in the field of political prognostications, I thought it worthwhile to pass along his thoughts on the Alabama governor's race.
TOSSUPSo feel free to agree or disagree with Sabato's insight. And for my money Chuck Todd and Stu Rothenberg are the best political handicappers around.
Alabama - What a spectacle. Governor Bob Riley (R), who barely beat incumbent Democratic Gov. Don Siegelman in 2002, tried to raise taxes and isn't conservative enough for some Republicans, who may back ousted Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore (of "Ten Commandments" fame--not the movie, the monument). Meanwhile Gov. Siegelman wants his old job back, but he's gotten himself indicted in a cash-for-appointment scandal, which may give the Democratic nod to Lt. Gov. Lucy Baxley, whose slogan is the wholesome, "I Love Lucy." We'll give a fingernail's edge to Riley, but he'd better review the Indiana Jones films so he can learn to dodge multiple bullets, arrows and boulders with the best of them.