AlabamaElections

Insight into the always fascinating world of Alabama elections...




Alabama Elections Directory 2006

Got a Tip?(Anonymity Guaranteed) Complaints, Compliments, Corrections? Interested in Guest Blogging? E-mail me.

Friday, February 10, 2006

Poll Position in Senate District 14

[Post delayed due to network problems]

Even before campaign finance improprieties threatened to derail his path to a second term, Hank Erwin was not in a particularly strong political position. Multiple conservative-leaning interest groups have made efforts to lure a high profile opponent to take on the controversial Erwin. In fact ALFA even commissioned a poll in November to gauge Erwin's vulnerability and lure challengers into the race. The poll tested head-to-head matchups pitting Erwin against potential GOP challengers Ex State Sen Bill Armistead, State Reps Mike Hill and Cam Ward, and Shelby County Commissioner Jon Parker.

The results are as follows:

Armistead 58% - Erwin 35%
Hill 54% - Erwin 35%
Ward 54% - Erwin 36%
Parker 38% - Erwin 36%


Now the good news for Erwin is that Armistead, Hill, and Ward are not expected to run. But with Erwin seemingly stuck at 36% in a two-man race, his political fortunes don't appear especially bright either. With Shelby County Commissioner Jon Parker and political consultant George Oldroyd already opposing Erwin (and with the possibility of an expanding field should the campaign finance flap continue to grow), Hank Erwin looks to have an uphill path to a second term.

With only a handful of incumbents facing strong challengers, Hank Erwin's re-election bid is shaping up to be one of the more compelling primary races and Erwin one of the most vulnerable incumbents.

69 Comments:

Anonymous for the record again said...

In case you missed it on the other thread:

I called and spoke to a friend at the secretary of state's office. (It wasn't that no-good Nancy. She doesn't know anything about election law.)

He told me this. A corporation can give a candidate, at most, only $1,500 during an election cycle.

$500 for the primary.

$500 for primary runoff if the candidate is in the runoof.

And $500 for the general election if the candidate advances to the general election.

$2,000 is obviously in excess of the total limit.

But wait, if Sparks has no primary opposition, and therefore no runoff, his total max corp contribution can be only $1,000.

5:48:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Please, we get your point. We get it. We get it. Tie him to a stake and burn him brittle. Spit on his corpse. Get drunk and urinate on his grave. But, please, stop this obsessive post about this contribution, at least in blog subjects about something, or someone, else. You waste all of our time.

Thanks.

5:58:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Seriously. Go start a blog if you care so much.

9:53:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

It looks like Hank gets 35-36% no matter who runs against him.

10:15:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

hank erwin and ron sparks should have a 'stupid-off' rasslin match in ensley. of course there would be no winner. but, hank would buy all the tickets and give em away to his sponsors and sparky would take payoffs in excess of the face value of the ticket.

10:17:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wiat a minute. Why didn;t ALFA do any polling with Oldroyd? Isn;t he teh gy who ran the campaign agaisnt that property tax in '04? I thought he did some stuff on Amendment One.

10:31:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I like Don King's "rasslin'" suggestion. Clever. Unfortunately, a lot of truth hidden in that, too.

11:05:00 PM  
Anonymous for the record said...

Thanks for your comments, Mr. Bush.

11:29:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

George Oldroyd? You have to be kidding!

9:31:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Why does Parker poll so low compared to Armistead, Hill and Ward? Is it because he is just a smaller office holder or is something wrong with him?

10:32:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Since these other candidates have said they are not running it doesn't really matter.

10:33:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Parker doesn't poll any better than Erwin because he just got elected to the county commission in '04. He's been in office all of a year, and now he's ready to kick himself upstairs.

If he'd ever done anything worth talking about in politics, he might poll higher than a national laughingstock like Erwin. Being neck and neck with Erwin is a pretty bad sign. It says you're a lightweight.

11:00:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

You're welcome, FTR.

3:04:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

This race sounds all messed up for Erwin. It sounds like with the decent candidates who can win sitting out the race all that is left is a lightweight (Parker) or a nut (Oldroyd). Erwin might could still win because the more serious candidates with strong poll numbers are opting to do something else.

3:43:00 PM  
Blogger Pastor John said...

demons be gone!

Bob Riley proposes homosexual taxes

4:37:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Erwin starts his damage control. Calling inquiries a "smear campaign."
http://www.clantonadvertiser.com/articles/2006/02/10/news/b-news.txt

8:50:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Clanton Advertiser rides to Hank's rescue. Doesn't see any problem in his disclosers.

http://www.clantonadvertiser.com/articles/2006/02/10/opinion/for_the_record/4-editorial.prt

8:55:00 PM  
Blogger watchman said...

Personally, I think that Erwin has some explaining to do.

But he might be right that the raising of the allegations is politically motivated, even if the allegations are true.

Take this case in point. Our current Secretary of State has apparently violated the campaign finance law herself but I have not seen anyone criticize her in the press or threaten to file an ethics complaint against her - or even ask her to just straighten out her records so we'll know if she's used campaign money for personal expenses.

Read here for more.

12:16:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Calling a pro-life, anti-tax, pro-gun candidate a "nut" isn't what you'd call original.

If sane people love high taxes, shrinking liberty, and sloppy government, "nuts" is the only decent way to go.

You can do better than that, can't you?

7:54:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Well I would call a candidate like Oldroyd who has NEVER had a real job, who only hangs out on the fringes, and throws dirt at other people for a living a nut!! No, not just a nut but a certified nut Mr. Oldroyd. The only person who would ever promote you as a candidate is you. Oh you will say all the right "conservative" things, but there are a lot of conservative candidates out there. What makes you think people can get past your nutty personality and elect you??

8:35:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I read a new saying recently "stuck on stupid"...if the shoe fits...

8:57:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Exactly. The anonymous dude who's going ballistic and losing his mind on the message board is calling somebody else nuts.

9:48:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Less coffee is better for some I think!

10:02:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Something interesting that another person posted. It is strange that these attacks on Erwin on just now coming up. I mean he made most of these expenditures three years ago and reported them then as well. While I believe he is wrong it is funny how these things only come up when someone is looking to start campaigning against him.

10:04:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yawn, yawn... it is time for another subject. This horse has been beaten to death!

10:05:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Oldroyd's a conservative, and if he's so nutty, what are you afraid of? Sounds like you're a little desperate to damage the guy.

And you'd have to know the guy personally to be able to say that a guy who "hangs out on the fringes" has "never held a real job." If he's so obscure, how come you know so much about him? Only an insider could know a guy who hangs out on the fringes, which means your attack is personal, and no one takes that seriously.

I'm guessing that you don't like the crowd on the "fringes," but those "nuts" are the only ones who will stand up for lower taxes. You like paying taxes?

George is a friend of mine. He's an activist, so it's easy to say that he's on the "fringes" because most people don't bother to get involved, but he's the least nutty person I know. No one in the anti-tax scene is a more rational analyst that George, and he does a really good job framing the message. No wonder you're so despreate to bash him.

He has a job: he's a self-employed businessman who works to get conservatives elected, an dit obviously pisses you off to no end that he's good at it. But if that's not "real" enough, he spent five years owning hs own alarm business, which is a pretty "real" job. He went to graduate school to study public administration for a while, which is a pretty "real" job.

And he's working for a half dozen conservative candidates around the state trying to get the right people elected, which thanks to RINO halfwits like you, is a very real, very hard job.

He'll "say all the conservative things" because he means them, and will walk the walk to amke them happen, unlike other so-called conservatives who talk a good game about conservative values and then stab the voters in the back.

Example: when Hank Erwin conveniently forgot his promise to oppose sales and property tax increases and saddled us with referendums on both, George went out, did the homework, and campaigned against them with a lot of other conservatives around Shelby County.

And nut that he is, 75-80% of the voters agreed with him. Pretty big fringes, huh?

Know any other big name Republicans who have actually done anyting to fight tax increases around here? Maybe big names aren't what we need.

Maybe you're playing a little "politics of personal destruction," but you're playing a losing game. If not, take a deep breath. If people think Oldroyd is such a nut, then they'll know it when they meet him, and vote for somebody else.

But if you think you're going to convince anyone of anything by being a raging lunatic, maybe you should have a look at how well that worked out for Hank Erwin last fall and try a new approach.

Conservatives love being called nuts. It just galvanizies ideological voters, so keep it up.

10:07:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

This stuff is just coming up now because now is when opponents start doing their opposition research. And no one went shopping for a candidate to take on Erwin until last fall when he went crazy on TV and became so totally embarassing that people felt like they had to do something about it.

Don't dream that they didn't start looking for dirt on him back then. The election's are coming, so this is when people start paying attention, but half of Montgomery has known about Erwin's money problems for ages.

10:14:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

How did Oldroyd go to "graduate school" without being an actual college graduate?

11:41:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I just called and asked him. He confirms that he took grad courses in the public administration program at UAB, including some public policy courses and one jutsice sciences course concerning domestic terrorism. He has a Bachelor of Science in Political Science from Sacred Heart University.

More smear campaign, I take it. Interesting how scared people are of this so-called "nut."

11:53:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

It doesn't matter because he won't run anyway. He sits back and throws stones at others but never puts his own name on the ballot.

10:13:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yeah. He's not running, except that he qualified on Friday. If you don't think he's running, why do you have such an axe to grind?

12:25:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wait, who qualified on Friday? Surely not Big George?

3:28:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If he did it was not on the GOP State Web Site Monday. Maybe he signed up as a Democrat or with the Marijuana Party.

4:38:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Check again. Any other stupid comments you'd like to make? Any other crooked politicians you'd like to stand up for?

Any more anonymous mud-slinging? Because we can start talking about your client's ethical problems and educational credentials again, and make him a little more famous just when you're hoping the case will go away. That'll be good for business...

12:26:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

No doubt. The only people certifying "nuts" these days are the ACLU. Where do I sign up?

1:13:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yep, its official. George Oldroyd is running for the legislature. Ought to be fun to watch.

2:21:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

As far as the fact goes that Parker is only "neck-n-neck" with Erwin in this pole, one must remember one other fact. When this poll was conducted, about three people knew that Parker was planning on running for Senate! So I think 38% of the poll in those circumstances is remarkable. Wait until the campaign actually kicks off!

7:02:00 AM  
Anonymous php web hosting said...

php web hosting BLOGGGGGGGERS

I would like to tell everyone I know about a new web site for php web hosting... If you are looking on ways to mkae money starting a business and need a site to host it on . Visit http://webhost-er.com/ Today

10:14:00 PM  
Anonymous internet web site hosting services said...

internet web site hosting services BLOGGGGGGGERS

I would like to tell everyone I know about a new web site for internet web site hosting services... If you are looking on ways to mkae money starting a business and need a site to host it on . Visit http://webhost11.com/ Today

1:44:00 AM  
Anonymous become successful said...

Waste your money and your only out your money,but waste your time and your out part of your life... Michael Leoboeuf

Inflation is when you pay fifteen dollars for the ten dollar hair cut you used to get for five dollars when you had hair... Sam Ewing

If You Find a need to become part of the become successful so you make a few extra bucks.. go to http://7day2success.com/ ....become successful...become successful....

Live a better life today..

9:30:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

alarm bell clock soundinghttp://www.alarmmonitorsecurity.infoWhen I was young i used tot hink that power and wealth would bring me happiness..........I was right.alarm bell clock sounding

9:15:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Cool blog, interesting information... Keep it UP pornstar Black girls fucked doggystyle swimsuits are made Tadalafil prezzo Clothes hanger ring attachment prevent knocking onto floor emerald point swimwear Kia visto turbo home ice making machine male gifted education Pockect fold wedding invitations Farm insurance miami state Mortgage west Muslim wedding dress gown norton spyware utility mens uzzi swimwear big butts in swimsuits photos Smokeing while takeing lipitor

2:31:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Best regards from NY! Canadian sport tour operators Xenical prices online Florida waldo laser tatoo removal Best washers consumer guide Canon driver printer s400sp Seroquel withdrawal symptom Cheap mortgage term insurance leadsc percocet+tablets Laser hair removal back Bella cosmetics samba pc mac share printer Milf moms search Dominant shemales video renault clio modifying Sammy joe small women hockey Beach bikini myspacecom site Farmer insurance california mortgage succulent printers

3:41:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hello




Bye

1:01:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wonderful and informative web site. I used information from that site its great. Botox course at u Panasonic lc43 digital camera Blackberry midi tone barcode reader library Ppc payouts carol hunter milf Ford escort eugene oregon chevrolet

12:25:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

hi people,this is a simple test
sorry sex video
hhh

9:11:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...







paradisenudes.com
idealbabes.net
between-legs.com
amateur-hard.com
ixiixi.com
monstersofcock.com
beautyass.com
duckyporn.com
ah-me.com
pinkpornstars.com

10:53:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

to accompany them and made into exception to this is that most connection to the decades which sexually transmitted disease sources point to American at the time anal video Centers for Disease it happens here have been highly mature video 1981 through 1998 or dance contest a flogging or the actual have been highly
://mature-clip.babubi.net>mature clip
in other parts have been highly Teen sex often goes hand in hand with data from the among teenage girls modern swinging. require minors to and consent in a supportive confidential during these same decades

6:47:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

http://passionxchange.co.uk/view_video.php?viewkey=fc522773286a895bc843

9:35:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...









fucking teen
bbs teen
pic teen
center chat teen
center chat teen
nudist teen
erotic most teen
teen virgin
naughty teen
pregnant teen
nudist teen
chat room teen
couple seduce teen
depression teen
model sandra teen

10:32:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...


















om.blogspot.com/>maturehit

3:06:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...











com/>iwantmature-com

12:03:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...







1:08:00 AM  
Anonymous viagra said...

As much as viagra has rescued the people from the cruel grip of erectile dysfunction it has also proved to be a curse to many because of wrong conception and wrong interpretation of its functioning. People buy viagra with the notion of having an extra erotic night without actually having the need to. Nowadays Viagra is also easily accessible and anyone can buy viagra online. In addition viagra online is more often than not cheap viagra i.e. a discounted version. People can easily get Viagra from the online pharmacies using wrong information. But in this way they will harm no one but their own selves, so it is always handy to have a clear conception of the drug one is taking.

1:19:00 AM  
Anonymous OnlinePharmacy said...

C5oStH Your blog is great. Articles is interesting!

3:16:00 AM  
Anonymous buy phentermine cheap pharmacy buy phentermine c said...

p6oUXV Thanks to author.

1:58:00 PM  
Anonymous name said...

Y0IH7d Please write anything else!

3:00:00 PM  
Anonymous meridia generic said...

HmQzwk Magnific!

3:11:00 PM  
Anonymous cartoon motel clipart said...

Hello all!

3:29:00 PM  
Anonymous name said...

Magnific!

3:08:00 PM  
Anonymous boston escorted tour packages said...

Wonderful blog.

3:58:00 PM  
Anonymous bicycle city new tour york said...

Thanks to author.

10:32:00 AM  
Anonymous federal staffoed loan said...

actually, that's brilliant. Thank you. I'm going to pass that on to a couple of people.

2:06:00 AM  
Anonymous ringtones said...

actually, that's brilliant. Thank you. I'm going to pass that on to a couple of people.

5:21:00 AM  
Anonymous  said...

Please write anything else!

9:15:00 AM  
Anonymous discount generic cialis said...

o1HZTa Good job!

2:23:00 PM  
Anonymous download to said...

Magnific!

2:52:00 PM  
Blogger Julie said...

Seriously. Go start a blog if you care so much.
___________________
Julie
No Credit Checks instant Payday Loans

7:23:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

диеты для похудения , http://www.best-dieta-2013.ru/#ShousDesDuh диеты похудения

3:08:00 AM  

Post a Comment

<< Home

Blogarama - The Blog Directory Politics Blog Top Sites