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Alabama Elections Directory 2006

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Tuesday, February 14, 2006

GOP Primary for Special Election Today

Republican voters in Lauderdale county-based State House District 001, will go to the polls today to choose a nominee in the March 21 special election to replace the late Nelson Starkey. Tammy Irons was the sole Democrat to file and thus automatically advanced to the general election.

The Republican primary pits William E. Smith (an attorney and recent Democratic convert) against veteran GOP activist John Hargett. Smith has raised more money than Hargett ($29K to less than $5K) but Hargett's long history with the local party may outweigh the newcomer's financial edge.

Most GOP leaders would probably prefer to see Smith as the nominee, but in a low turnout affair it is difficult to predict a winner. If forced, I'd bet on a Smith win in the mid to high 50% range, but Hargett can't be counted out.

But whichever candidate wins the GOP primary is likely to find it a pyrrhic victory as Democrat Tammy Irons is widely regarded as a heavy favorite in the general.

21 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

who is tammy irons? she aint luther irons family is she? God save us if that is true.

9:00:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

go hargett!!!

9:12:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wow, Zac....you predictions are always so money....Mask was going to lose his primary and Smith was going to get high 50s.....right on the money

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