GOP Primary for Special Election Today
The Republican primary pits William E. Smith (an attorney and recent Democratic convert) against veteran GOP activist John Hargett. Smith has raised more money than Hargett ($29K to less than $5K) but Hargett's long history with the local party may outweigh the newcomer's financial edge.
Most GOP leaders would probably prefer to see Smith as the nominee, but in a low turnout affair it is difficult to predict a winner. If forced, I'd bet on a Smith win in the mid to high 50% range, but Hargett can't be counted out.
But whichever candidate wins the GOP primary is likely to find it a pyrrhic victory as Democrat Tammy Irons is widely regarded as a heavy favorite in the general.