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Alabama Elections Directory 2006

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Tuesday, January 24, 2006

Mask Whips Whorton

The votes have been counted and Barry Mask is the Republican nominee for the special election in State House District 31. Mask won with over 70% of the vote, collecting 3138 votes to opponent Don Whorton's 1265.

Whorton's baggage from two controversial terms on the Elmore County Commission was obviously just too heavy a burden to carry. Mask was unencumbered by such negative experience and was able to present himself as a fresh face to primary voters. Mask also was able to use his connections throughout the state to outraise Whorton by about a 3 to 1 ratio. Mask was financially supported by GOP House Leader Mike Hubbard and State Rep Cam Ward, as well as by several Montgomery based PACs. (Here's a link to the latest financial filings of both Mask and Whorton).

Mask will face Democrat and longtime Tallassee Mayor Bobby Payne in the Feb 28 general election. Payne has an appealing profile and has demonstrated a proven ability to win local elections. But HD 31 is a strongly Republican district and Payne will have to fight these underlying demographics to keep the district in Democratic hands.

Payne can expect support from legislative Democrats who are eager to prove that Dems can still win in areas like HD 31. Though Payne should not suffer from a lack of funds, Mask has already demonstrated his fundraising prowess. In addition to his connections through lobbying, Mask will also be the beneficiary of Republican money from throughout the state.

Even though the winner of the Feb 28 special election will have to immediately turn around and prepare for the November elections, the power of incumbency should give a boost to the special election winner.

The Feb 28 special should be a close race and both parties recognize the practical and symbolic importance of victory. This special election will be the opening salvo in the 2006 battle for control of the legislature.

38 Comments:

Anonymous Political Stranger said...

Has the Venable family said anything about the special election?

10:42:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Heck yeah.

Nice job, Barry.

11:04:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jo Venable was pressured by Hammett to come out for Payne. I gather the family wasn't keen on the idea. Rep. Venable's son is/was a member of a Young Republicans group, as I understand it.

11:06:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Nice job Barry. Now on to round 2.

11:20:00 PM  
Blogger PoliSciZac said...

Venable's widow has been supportive of Payne. I think Payne cited her encouragement as one reason he entered the race.

11:49:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

As I said, Jo Venable, Rep. Venable's wife, came out for Payne.

11:55:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

well, I figure hubbert tried to get 2 bites of the apple. He got it. Now he will elect payne over mask. mask is naive. hubbert will eat his lunch or destroy him in the process

12:13:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Have you ever seen the demographics for Elmore and Coosa Counties? These folks aren't that susceptible to Hubbert's brainwashing. The GOP candidate will win this district.

2:18:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

This is a good day for Republicans -- and another wrong prediction from this blog.

3:33:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

They've actually been pretty good at predictions, that's a cheap shot by the last poster.

This blog actually had the results of the election before it hit the wires, in many ways its the best political news source for AL politics.

Keep it comin, Zac.

4:40:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Damn straight, not sure what that one poster has against the site, but it's the best thing to happen to Alabama politics in a long time.

5:58:00 AM  
Blogger TeeRob said...

The dominoes are beginning to fall and the Alabama House of Rep. is likely to be in Republican's hands in 07. The Democrat leadership did not want Mask to win. Seth Hammett has made so many mistakes with the Black caucus and "conservative" Dems that there is no way with a block of Republican House members that he will remain as Speaker.

7:20:00 AM  
Blogger Don said...

Zac said that Mask was able to outraise Whorton about 3 to 1, and the figures confirm that as far as contributions are concerned, however, Whorton obtained a $35,000 loan (from whom, himself?), and outspent Mask over 2 to 1. When the report shows that Mask raised less than $22,000, that sounds like some pretty skimpy backing from “GOP House Leader Mike Hubbard and State Rep Cam Ward, as well as by several Montgomery based PACs.” Zac.

Facing Payne in a very short time, Mask will have to find a lot more money very quickly from somewhere, because the reports show that he had less than $4,000 left at the time of the report.

And, Zac, I am not the anonymous one who took a poke at your prediction in an earlier post, I did that through email to you.

I may have more to say on this subject shortly.

9:28:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

hey teerob! how many blacks in the alabama legislature? I bet zero are republicans. they are all still on their plantation minding the shop and taking orders from hammett, siegelman, hubbert, and other half wits.
I hope its not considered racist to hold black people accountable for what black elected leaders have done to them. These black fools in alabama take the cake.

9:29:00 AM  
Blogger Don said...

Following the victory in court over voter fraud by the Democracy Defense League by only a couple of days, Barry Mask, in his first campaign for public office, wins over a second term county commissioner and credits it to the efforts of grassroots volunteers, after being outspent by his opponent 2 to 1.

These are two great examples of what common citizens can do when they unite and become active in a grassroots movement.

I keep being told that Alabama will never become the 25th state with an Initiative and Referendum process, but these examples show that we can, if everyone will just stop their complaining about our state government and unite to actually do something positive for a change. Here's a link to where Mask credits the volunteers and says he was outspent 2 to 1 by Whorton. http://www.thewetumpkaherald.com/articles/2006/01/25/news/news02.txt

9:37:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I rode up to lake martin yesterday and was in coosa and elmore counties. I saw only a couple of red "M" signs that said mask' in smaller letters. Whorton signs were everywhere. I really thought Whorton got the clan vote, but I guess not. Its amazing how many confederate flags and old state flags still fly in front of the rusty single wides.

10:25:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The clan vote? Are you really that stupid?

10:54:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'm curious how many votes did Payne receive in the Dem. Primary?

1:35:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

There wasn't a place on the ballot for Payne.

2:24:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Oh ok I was just curious.

2:37:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

yes, the klan vote. the southern poverty law center monitors hate groups and yes, the klan is active in alabama, as are other far right and left wackos.

4:22:00 PM  
Blogger PoliSciZac said...

Interesting info on the fundraising. I thought $7,000 seemed pretty paltry given that Whorton was running tv ads. That certainly makes the victory more impressive for Mask and highlights his need to raise money for what will probably be an expensive race with Payne.

4:48:00 PM  
Anonymous Who's afraid of the big bad Klan? said...

"klan vote" Sheesh

Who the hell cares about what the Southern Poverty Law Center says? They are about one thing and one thing only-- fundraising.

They will say anything to make people believe that Alabama is a place where people burn crosses in their front lawns instead of putting up Christmas lights.

6:34:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Zac I like you but you need to give up on making predictions. First it was Zeb and now this.

7:34:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

zeb, keep on predicting! politics isnt exact and your opinion is more informed than most people who come here. my guess is, your visitors read the rag, alabama politics by the old wallace hag bessie ford. that woman will print anything because she is paid to put anything in your mailbox. what an idiot she is.

8:05:00 PM  
Anonymous Capt. Anonymous said...

I definitely agree with that last post about "Alabama Politics." Nothing in there seems to be true. But I read it because it seems everyone in Montgomery reads it. Who is Bessie Ford?

9:06:00 PM  
Blogger PoliSciZac said...

I don't claim to be an expert political prognosticator. I did well on the Mobile and Tuscaloosa municipal elections, though. I obviously was using the wrong calculus on the HD 31 primary. But I think predictions are part of the fun of politics and would encourage anyone who's interested to make theirs and see how we all compare.

10:56:00 PM  
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