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Alabama Elections Directory 2006

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Friday, December 09, 2005

AlabamaElections Exclusive: Zeb Little NOT running for re-election

I've been told by multiple trusted sources that State Senator Zeb Little (D-Cullman) will not run for re-election.

A couple of days ago I mentioned the speculation surrounding Little's upcoming "new announcement". Since Little is a leader in the State Senate and has harbored statewide ambitions, his announcement could have gone any different number of directions. However, I have enough information at this point to say that I expect him to announce that he will not stand for re-election. I don't know all the details about why he is retiring and at this point I am not going to speculate without knowing the specifics.

Little's retirement will set of a scramble within the state legislature. I expect State Rep Neal Morrison (D-Cullman) to run for the Senate seat and to be the candidate to beat. Republican leaders will probably try to push aside Winston County GOP Chair Harold Sachs, who has been running for the Senate seat for months, in favor of a stronger candidate. Yet whether or not a stronger Republican will emerge or whether the GOP would be able to unify around him is difficult to say at this point.

Assuming Neal Morrison does run for Little's Senate seat, then Morrison's open house seat would be a prime target for the House GOP. Morrison's seat, while certainly competitive, leans GOP on the state and national level and Democrats would need to find a strong candidate in order to hold the seat.

Little's retirement also dramatically alters the leadership calculus in the State Senate. Little is currently the Majority Leader, which is the #2 position in the Senate, and was widely expected to lead the "Barron" wing ,if as expected, Barron doesn't have the votes to remain President pro tem after the 2006 elections. I wouldn't expect Little to resign the Majority Leader's post, but there will definitely be a struggle within the Barron faction to determine who will fill the vacuum left by Little.

I am not sure when Little will announce his retirement (maybe today, maybe next week), but remember when he does that you heard it here first.

17 Comments:

Blogger Justin Ready said...

Link exchange?
http://2008politicalperspective.blogspot.com

I talk about 2008 Presidential elections and the early maneuvering as well as the 2006 elections. I am from Maryland, but a huge Univ. of Alabama fan and was born in Mobile...

8:52:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

maybe he is running for Lt. Gov or AG?

10:01:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I doubt he's running for AG, there is already a formidable democrat running for that seat. Has a "big name" democrat even signed up for Lt. Gov?

10:54:00 AM  
Anonymous Don Seibold said...

Interesting, if Little doesn’t run. But as far as Morrison running for his seat, I would say he may have a struggle between his ego and Seth Hammett’s influence over him. Hammett just finished playing musical chairs, moving Guin up to the Rules committee, and replacing Guin with Morrison [whose district adjoins Guin’s, so we can assume those two are closely aligned] on the Constitution and Elections Committee. All of that seemingly makes for a cozy and powerful triumvirate headed by Hammett to control the House of Representatives.

11:41:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Any chance that Little might consider running against Aderholt?

12:55:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think Zeb has some "personal matters" to take care of that would prevent him next year from running against Aderholt or for Lt. Gov or AG

1:33:00 PM  
Blogger PoliSciZac said...

My understanding is that Little does not want to be under the political microscope anymore and so a statewide run would just increase the attention. I am not sure if he is completely retired from politics, but from what I have been told he will not be a candidate for office in 2006.

Also, I am not aware of any Democrat, big name or little name, who is leaning toward running for LG. Folsom scared off the other contenders by floating his name several months ago, but now the word is that his interest in that race has waned.

1:35:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Does anyone have any info or thoughts on Darrel Haynes for the senate race

4:36:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have no clue who Darrel haynes is.

6:01:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

he aint one of em homo's is he?

11:59:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I believe that Senator Little was quite clear in his comments to the Cullman Times that an announcement would be coming soon. I have talked directly with his campaign staff, and they have confirmed that he has not made a final decision not to run. In spite of the variety of speculation, we won't know until we hear it from the Senator.

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