Insight into the always fascinating world of Alabama elections...

Alabama Elections Directory 2006

Got a Tip?(Anonymity Guaranteed) Complaints, Compliments, Corrections? Interested in Guest Blogging? E-mail me.

Wednesday, November 30, 2005

Riley Approval at 50%

In what has become a monthly exercise, SurveyUSA has released its October Governor's ratings. Bob Riley clocks in with a job approval rating right at 50% with 45% disapproving of his performance.

Though these numbers are an improvement on his pre-Katrina standing, the immediate post-Katrina bump he had looks to be all but gone.

Since Riley's first order of business will be to get past Roy Moore in the June primary, the more important numbers will be his standing among Republican voters. Thankfully, Survey USA provides the internals of their new poll.

Here's the breakdown of Riley's approval ratings by party:

Approve/ Disapprove
GOP: 66/31
DEM: 38/57
IND: 46/50

So while Riley's approval ratings among the electorate as a whole is a bit precarious, he does have a healthy 2 to 1 approval rating among Republicans.

Of course the 30% disapproval rating of members of Riley's own party does give an opponent like Moore a significant base from which to mount a campaign. Many incumbents can command near universal approval among members of their own party, even if they aren't widely popular across the board.

For example Minnesota's Republican Gov. Tim Pawlenty has the exact same approval ratings as Bob Riley (50/45) but Pawlenty has an impressive 81% approval rating among Republicans. I use this comparison to show that while Riley's 66% approval among Republicans seems solid at first blush, it also demonstrates that he has some work to do to emerge from the GOP primary.

Since SurveyUSA will release a new poll every month, it'll be very interesting to see the fluctuations of Riley's overall numbers but also to keep an eye on his standing within his own party.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

The real story is that Riley's approval rating is up 10% in just the last month. Go back and look at the last poll this same outfit did. They had him at 40% just one month ago.

10:46:00 AM  
Blogger PoliSciZac said...

No actually Survey USA had Riley at a 49% approval rating last month. His disapproval did drop from 48% to 45% though.

You can see the monthly tracking here..

10:56:00 AM  
Blogger Collin said...

Anybody making it to T-Town for the Roy Moore speech today? I have to work, so if anybody makes it give us a good blog!

12:16:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

From AlabamaElections:

Friday, October 07, 2005
New Polling on Guv Candidates

Survey USA has a new poll gauging the favorability of all four of the major gubernatorial candidates.

The question is worded, "What is your opinion of Candidate X?". And the possible responses are favorable, unfavorable, neutral, or unfamiliar.

Below are the results:

Bob Riley(R):

40% Favorable
37% Unfavorable
20% Neutral
2% Unfamiliar

Now, you may say, "Well this is different than approval. It's favorability." Does the public really differentiate between whether they "approve" of a politican or whether they find him or her "favorable"? I think not. They're the same thing. So Riley's "approval/favorability" rating has gone up 10% in one month. Just like I said.

11:27:00 PM  
Blogger PoliSciZac said...

Thats a fair argument. It does get a little dicey when you compare different measures, but like you said I don't think favorability and approval is a very large distinction.

But the monthly polls have the exact same wording and methodology so they are a little easier to compare. And in those Riley's numbers didn't move much.

But you make a good point about the other poll.

1:10:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think the bottom line is that, for incumbents, their numbers don't tend to increase in a campaign. They normally start out at a certain point and then are slowly chipped away by the negative campaigning of challengers.

I think these numbers are going to be the best Riley will see-- especially if Harry Anne Smith runs. After a couple months of her campaigning around the state, Riley's numbers will probably dive into the 30s.

Moore's numbers represent his base so it won't decrease.

9:49:00 PM  
Anonymous mortgage lenders said...

mortgage lenders

10:29:00 PM  
Anonymous arbonne consultants said...

Your blog I found to be very interesting!
I just came across your blog and wanted to
drop you a note telling you how impressed I was with
the information you have posted here.
I have a arbonne consultants
Come and check it out if you get time :-)
Best regards!

11:39:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

university of arkansas fort smith

1:41:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Where did you find it? Interesting read film editing schools

8:47:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Very cool design! Useful information. Go on! »

9:19:00 AM  
Blogger oakleyses said...

nike air max, red bottom shoes, ray ban sunglasses, louis vuitton handbags, longchamp outlet online, louis vuitton outlet, christian louboutin outlet, michael kors outlet online, nike shoes, tiffany jewelry, michael kors outlet online, burberry outlet online, chanel handbags, true religion, prada outlet, tiffany and co jewelry, louis vuitton, ray ban outlet, michael kors outlet store, coach purses, nike free, tory burch outlet, oakley vault, prada handbags, coach outlet store online, nike air max, christian louboutin shoes, polo ralph lauren outlet, christian louboutin, louis vuitton outlet online, polo ralph lauren, oakley sunglasses, kate spade handbags, burberry outlet online, kate spade outlet online, true religion outlet, longchamp handbags, longchamp outlet, gucci handbags, jordan shoes, michael kors outlet online, coach outlet, michael kors outlet, louis vuitton outlet, coach outlet, michael kors outlet online, cheap oakley sunglasses

7:52:00 PM  
Blogger oakleyses said...

nike air max, louis vuitton pas cher, air max pas cher, longchamp pas cher, ray ban pas cher, longchamp, nike free pas cher, mulberry, lululemon, converse pas cher, burberry pas cher, true religion jeans, nike blazer pas cher, tn pas cher, lacoste pas cher, air jordan, ray ban uk, ralph lauren pas cher, true religion outlet, ralph lauren, sac louis vuitton, chaussure louboutin, nike free, michael kors uk, hollister, abercrombie and fitch, hollister, north face, sac michael kors, north face pas cher, sac vanessa bruno, michael kors canada, nike air force, oakley pas cher, scarpe hogan, barbour, nike roshe, louis vuitton uk, guess pas cher, louis vuitton, new balance pas cher, nike roshe run, nike air max, vans pas cher, hermes pas cher, air max, timberland

8:00:00 PM  
Blogger oakleyses said...

soccer jerseys, mont blanc pens, wedding dresses, reebok shoes, north face jackets, ugg boots, ugg outlet, new balance outlet, nike huarache, roshe run, canada goose outlet, ugg, canada goose, mcm handbags, marc jacobs outlet, babyliss pro, longchamp, giuseppe zanotti, hollister, p90x workout, asics shoes, uggs outlet, uggs on sale, valentino shoes, celine handbags, canada goose outlet, insanity workout, ferragamo shoes, north face outlet, lululemon outlet, soccer shoes, instyler ionic styler, mac cosmetics, rolex watches, herve leger, abercrombie and fitch, nfl jerseys, birkin bag, beats headphones, chi flat iron, nike trainers, ghd, bottega veneta, vans outlet, canada goose outlet, ugg soldes, jimmy choo shoes

8:13:00 PM  
Blogger oakleyses said...

air max, wedding dress, canada goose pas cher, ugg, toms outlet, canada goose, oakley, pandora jewelry, hollister, replica watches, baseball bats, moncler, moncler outlet, vans, juicy couture outlet, canada goose uk, hollister canada, timberland shoes, converse, hollister clothing, ralph lauren, pandora uk, moncler, iphone 6 case, lancel, moncler, louis vuitton canada, nike air max, moncler, uggs canada, links of london uk, karen millen, ray ban, louboutin, canada goose, thomas sabo uk, gucci, coach outlet, parajumpers outlet, moncler, supra shoes, converse shoes, swarovski uk, pandora charms, swarovski jewelry, moncler, montre femme, juicy couture outlet

8:25:00 PM  
Blogger Fghkfhk Dfgaert said...

air jordan shoes
ubiq shoes
san antonio spurs jerseys
canada goose jackets
michael kors outlet
true religion outlet
chrome hearts outlet
michael kors handbags
ferragamo outlet
canada goose outlet

4:33:00 AM  

Post a Comment

<< Home

Blogarama - The Blog Directory Politics Blog Top Sites