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Alabama Elections Directory 2006

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Friday, November 04, 2005

Poll: Riley's Katrina Bounce Gone

Survey USA released their monthly gauge of each governor's approval ratings. Bob Riley's ratings haven't fared well over the past month.

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bob Riley is doing as Governor?

Approve : 49%
Disapprove : 48%

Other than last month's 58/37 approval, Riley has been fluttering right around even approval/disapproval ratings over the last several months and this latest poll shows his Katrina bounce has almost completely dissipated.

This poll also confirms other recent polls (here and here) that show Bob Riley's post-Katrina surge subsiding. The silver lining for the governor is that it does seem he has significantly recovered from his post-Amendment One lows and has at least a fighting shot at a second term. Indeed, his opponents are not without flaws as well.

But with Roy Moore on the warpath and two Democrats looking to oust him, Bob Riley needs to fully engage in the campaign and try to arrest the trend of his falling poll numbers.

13 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

You may want to check into Former Gov. Jim Folsom. he was given an award in decatur last night and i am hearing that he may run for Gov. instead of Lt. Gov.

6:54:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Survey USA's polling is not considered too highly by pollsters and others who work in campaigns. They do predictive dialing and (most often) have a recorded voice ask the questions -- Press 1 if "Yes", press 2 if "No" type of survey. I've seen other polls that have Riley's approval way above this. Any poll taken today is pretty meaningless, though.

10:25:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

nope, riley is in trouble.

12:38:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'm not so sure that Riley is in trouble. His opponents are all deeply flawed. Ayatollah Roy has his zealots, but Bob will have the GOP hierarchy and the business council firmly on his side. He will raise tons o' money and marshall most GOP office-holders at every level of the state for his campaign.

Maybe more importantly, Roy doesn't seem like the type who will fare well under extended scrutiny of a gubernatorial race. He's good when preaching to the choir but not sure how he will do beyond that.

On the Demo side, Don's troubles will prevent him for raising much money, although he may trip up Lucy in the primary. Lucy has yet to show any compelling reason WHY she should be elected governor, and she has yet to connect with the Demo's core constituency: the black voters.

So by comparison, Bob may be in pretty good shape.

10:02:00 AM  
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