Hubbert gives Bob Riley the edge in the GOP primary ("At this point I still see Riley being hard to beat"), but doesn't count out Roy Moore ("I think Moore had a solid base among Christian conservatives, but unless he grows that base, I don't see him taking Riley out in the primary.").
Hubbert is of course a former Democratic nominee for governor and a frequent supporter of Democratic candidates. So his thoughts on the Democratic race are all the more relevant.
"Right now I think the Democratic nomination is up for grabs," Hubbert said. "I think Don still feels he has a solid base of support, which he does. "But I also think Lucy feels she can win the primary, which she can, so I think [the Democratic nomination] is very much in play."Hubbert's view of the Democratic race as a virtual jump ball certainly jibes with public polls and my own analysis (here and here) of the stalling (if not reversal) of Lucy Baxley's numbers.
The Democrats will likely keep control of both houses of the Alabama legislature, according to Hubbard. That's not an especially bold claim though, as I am not even sure Twinkle Andress expects a GOP legislature come 2007.
In terms of the AEA's 2006 activity, Hubbert seems likely to support the Democratic nominee for governor, but does leave the door cracked for a surprise Riley endorsement. But Roy Moore's "school choice" views are anathema to the man who has made public education a dominant force in Alabama politics.
While his comments are always interesting, Hubbert plays his cards pretty close to the vest. But before the votes are counted on election night, I am sure Paul Hubbert will have had as much impact as anyone in the state.