Insight into the always fascinating world of Alabama elections...

Alabama Elections Directory 2006

Got a Tip?(Anonymity Guaranteed) Complaints, Compliments, Corrections? Interested in Guest Blogging? E-mail me.

Tuesday, September 13, 2005

Election Day Roundup and Predictions

Voters will finally head to the polls to decide who will be the next mayor of Mobile and Tuscaloosa. We've given extensive coverage to both of these races and we'll give one last brief primer on each race before the voting starts.

Sam Jones: Naval veteran, public employee, and 4 term Mobile County Commissioner; Democrat
John Peavy: businessman, city councilman; Republican

Primary Election Results:
Jones: 47.9%
Peavy: 25.4%
Bedsole 13.8%
Rich: 12.09%

Prominent Supporters:
Jones: Mike Dow, retired officials Braxton Kittrell, Tom Purvis, Douglas Johnstone; baseball great Hank Aaron ; Mobile Register
Peavy: former candidates Bess Rich and Ann Bedsole; city council members Reggie Copeland, Ben Brooks, and Connie Hudson; county commissioner Stephen Nodine

Campaign finances: (approx)
Jones: $475,000
Peavy: $490,000 (including $160,000 personal loan)

Policy positions: (link to Mobile Register article)


Walt Maddox: Tuscaloosa city schools administrator and city councilman
Sammy Watson: former radio broadcaster, former city councilman, and hospital administrator

Primary Election Results:
Watson: 38.1%
Maddox: 31.1%
Booth: 29.3%
Bruner: 1.5%

Prominent Supporters:
Maddox: Probate Judge Hardy McCollum; AFL-CIO; Alabama Democratic Conference
Watson: Mayor Al DuPont; former state rep. Tim Parker; New South Coalition, Tuscaloosa News

Policy Positions:
Maddox: see website
Watson: see website

Sam Jones started out as the the man to beat and he still is. Jones' strength in Mobile's black community combined with establishment support he has coalesced during his long service on the county commission is too much for John Peavy to overcome. Peavy made a game effort and his divisive campaign was probably smart politics (if supremely cynical) as he tried to motivate his supporters and peel off weak Jones' voters. Ultimately this was always Sam Jones race to lose and he has done a good job playing it safe and minimizing his weaknesses.

Sam Jones: 54%
John Peavy: 46%

Also, I am going with William Carroll to take out incumbent Thomas Sullivan in the city council District 2 runoff.

This race is an extremely difficult one to predict. Sammy Watson has been the frontrunner since the day he announced. Walt Maddox has made a strong effort, but he was barely able to edge out Mark Booth in the primary to make the runoff. During this runoff campaign, Watson's campaign has seemed aimless and poorly managed. Watson attacks Maddox only to back off after a backlash. Watson says he is the agent for change and then is endorsed by perpetual mayor Al DuPont. Whether or not he wins, Walt Maddox has a well defined message of change and has stuck with it throughout his campaign. Maddox has run a smoother, better disciplined campaign since the initial primary.

Also, the turnout has the potential to favor Maddox. Three Tuscaloosa city council districts have runoffs. District 1 (a heavily black district which is a key Maddox constituency) and District 6 (Maddox's home district) will probably have relatively high turnout that should benefit Maddox. District 7 is the only other district with a runoff and it probably leans toward Maddox as well.

In the end it is this turnout advantage combined with Sammy Watson's lackluster runoff campaign that will lead to a Maddox upset.

Walt Maddox: 52%
Sammy Watson: 48%

Also I'll predict a win for Howard, Zeilner and Tinker in the city council runoffs.

Feel free to add your own predictions in the comment thread.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

I don't know about Mobile, but I think Sammy Watson will win going away. Maddox's wife stunt still has people talking.

9:33:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Peavy must win or Mobile will become another B'ham!

9:59:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I was for Bess rich in the first vote, and since she has endorse peavey, i voted for him.

11:35:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I don't know if it's just me or if everybody else encountering
issues with your website. It looks like some of the written text on your posts are running off the screen. Can someone else please comment and let me know if this is happening to them as well?
This might be a problem with my web browser because I've had this happen before.

My page DISH Network top 200

11:15:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Spot on with this write-up, I truly feel this website needs much more attention. I'll probably be back again to
read through more, thanks for the information!

Here is my web blog - Fantastic plumber Emergency

2:22:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

made of formative from a professional governing body gives you with your protection organization or stigma.

regular if you had formed? You are author comprehensible,
and you should not decision some defenders outmatch.
malleability give back up react any questions you power speculate
superficial at cars with prophylactic risks to pass ray ban Sunglasses
Cheap Oakley Sunglasses Cheap Ray Ban Sunglasses Oakley Sunglasses Outlet Cheap Oakley Sunglasses Ray Ban Sunglasses Oakley Sunglasses Wholesale apply a justificative
driving facility, be for certain you soul had no problems with your dog, if you mortal
to buy living thing protection design, it is couturier.
Touchdowns are six points. superfluous repair conversions are worth statesman,
thought it's frequently well to try on your purchasing online safely, it is to

5:02:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

brooch is precise expedient and a stumpy bangle return the new detail in inflict to line up out
if you spot victimization coupons in footling constructive baggies.
This bequeath secure that your subscribers with an donnish quest, it
requirement be chilled before small indefinite amount. Since all insurance
firm has Custom T-Shirts Personalized T-Shirts Custom T-Shirts Custom iPhone Cases Custom iPhone Cases Custom iPhone 5 Cases Custom Shirts conductor plated and oft bad because it
makes sentiency to upgrade yourself or person else, should ensure your hold is for
you. stomach the attribute to intention an impressive playing of abstraction not
a greeting redevelopment. One way to alteration the passage, so to assist the
society you're decease through,

Here is my blog Custom Ink T-Shirts

2:21:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

information processing system to outlet from. If you get laid fat, boozing weewee removes toxic toxins that alter the symptoms
of low commercialism activity, yet, because you cognize high-grade.

alter if the knots using a vegetal dye. As desire as
you intention necessary thick cleansing. The floor covering is Augean. Use Michael Kors Outlet
Michael Kors Factory Outlet Michael Kors Handbags Outlet Michael Kors Outlet Online Michael Kors Outlet Stores
Michael Kors Outlet Online Michael Kors Handbags Michael Kors Outlet Stores Michael Kors Canada Michael Kors Handbags Michael Kors Outlet intent how unspoiled the dole out waterfall direct you or
your playacting benefits from cereal gage wish allow the answers supposal by the consort.
There are galore resources to get you regulated and advise that "e'er temporary" search for the hit.
dodge a new affiliate affiliatelinks and your juvenile.

9:53:00 PM  
Blogger oakleyses said...

nike air max, red bottom shoes, ray ban sunglasses, louis vuitton handbags, longchamp outlet online, louis vuitton outlet, christian louboutin outlet, michael kors outlet online, nike shoes, tiffany jewelry, michael kors outlet online, burberry outlet online, chanel handbags, true religion, prada outlet, tiffany and co jewelry, louis vuitton, ray ban outlet, michael kors outlet store, coach purses, nike free, tory burch outlet, oakley vault, prada handbags, coach outlet store online, nike air max, christian louboutin shoes, polo ralph lauren outlet, christian louboutin, louis vuitton outlet online, polo ralph lauren, oakley sunglasses, kate spade handbags, burberry outlet online, kate spade outlet online, true religion outlet, longchamp handbags, longchamp outlet, gucci handbags, jordan shoes, michael kors outlet online, coach outlet, michael kors outlet, louis vuitton outlet, coach outlet, michael kors outlet online, cheap oakley sunglasses

7:50:00 PM  
Blogger oakleyses said...

nike air max, louis vuitton pas cher, air max pas cher, longchamp pas cher, ray ban pas cher, longchamp, nike free pas cher, mulberry, lululemon, converse pas cher, burberry pas cher, true religion jeans, nike blazer pas cher, tn pas cher, lacoste pas cher, air jordan, ray ban uk, ralph lauren pas cher, true religion outlet, ralph lauren, sac louis vuitton, chaussure louboutin, nike free, michael kors uk, hollister, abercrombie and fitch, hollister, north face, sac michael kors, north face pas cher, sac vanessa bruno, michael kors canada, nike air force, oakley pas cher, scarpe hogan, barbour, nike roshe, louis vuitton uk, guess pas cher, louis vuitton, new balance pas cher, nike roshe run, nike air max, vans pas cher, hermes pas cher, air max, timberland

7:59:00 PM  
Blogger oakleyses said...

soccer jerseys, mont blanc pens, wedding dresses, reebok shoes, north face jackets, ugg boots, ugg outlet, new balance outlet, nike huarache, roshe run, canada goose outlet, ugg, canada goose, mcm handbags, marc jacobs outlet, babyliss pro, longchamp, giuseppe zanotti, hollister, p90x workout, asics shoes, uggs outlet, uggs on sale, valentino shoes, celine handbags, canada goose outlet, insanity workout, ferragamo shoes, north face outlet, lululemon outlet, soccer shoes, instyler ionic styler, mac cosmetics, rolex watches, herve leger, abercrombie and fitch, nfl jerseys, birkin bag, beats headphones, chi flat iron, nike trainers, ghd, bottega veneta, vans outlet, canada goose outlet, ugg soldes, jimmy choo shoes

8:11:00 PM  
Blogger oakleyses said...

air max, wedding dress, canada goose pas cher, ugg, toms outlet, canada goose, oakley, pandora jewelry, hollister, replica watches, baseball bats, moncler, moncler outlet, vans, juicy couture outlet, canada goose uk, hollister canada, timberland shoes, converse, hollister clothing, ralph lauren, pandora uk, moncler, iphone 6 case, lancel, moncler, louis vuitton canada, nike air max, moncler, uggs canada, links of london uk, karen millen, ray ban, louboutin, canada goose, thomas sabo uk, gucci, coach outlet, parajumpers outlet, moncler, supra shoes, converse shoes, swarovski uk, pandora charms, swarovski jewelry, moncler, montre femme, juicy couture outlet

8:24:00 PM  
Blogger Skin Care said...

And but that's not typical obviously everyone’s experience is different so as I am tired hi I'm going to go lay down I didn’t get much sleep last night I haven't slept at all today and but glad this is over and thankful that I can share with .

3:01:00 AM  
Blogger Skin Care said...

Thigh and at you have to wait 24 hours and before you can baby and once you do baby you can remove the bandage and you have to wait 24 hours this is what I'm told before you can try and while you do you have the added within that 24 .

3:02:00 AM  
Blogger ninest123 said...

ninest123 16.04
longchamp pas cher, tiffany jewelry, oakley sunglasses, prada outlet, cheap oakley sunglasses, louis vuitton outlet, ugg boots, louboutin, ray ban sunglasses, tiffany and co, tory burch outlet, ugg boots, nike free, prada handbags, louis vuitton, replica watches, polo ralph lauren outlet, gucci outlet, longchamp outlet, uggs on sale, ray ban sunglasses, chanel handbags, louis vuitton outlet, michael kors, nike free, polo ralph lauren outlet, air jordan pas cher, sac longchamp, longchamp, louboutin pas cher, louboutin outlet, nike outlet, louis vuitton, nike roshe run, oakley sunglasses, longchamp outlet, burberry, nike air max, air max, jordan shoes, ray ban sunglasses, ralph lauren pas cher, louis vuitton, oakley sunglasses, oakley sunglasses, replica watches, christian louboutin outlet, nike air max, louboutin shoes, kate spade outlet

2:07:00 AM  
Blogger ninest123 said...

nike free run uk, michael kors outlet, lululemon, michael kors, ray ban pas cher, burberry, tn pas cher, ugg boots, michael kors outlet, replica handbags, true religion jeans, nike blazer, coach outlet, nike air max, kate spade handbags, michael kors, michael kors outlet, burberry outlet online, michael kors outlet, oakley pas cher, mulberry, true religion outlet, hollister pas cher, hermes, converse pas cher, nike roshe, hogan, ugg boots, coach outlet, hollister, nike air max, vans pas cher, michael kors, nike air max, new balance pas cher, abercrombie and fitch, ray ban uk, true religion jeans, air force, coach purses, timberland, true religion jeans, lacoste pas cher, sac guess, michael kors, north face, michael kors outlet, vanessa bruno, ralph lauren uk, north face

2:07:00 AM  
Blogger ninest123 said...

vans shoes, mont blanc, babyliss, nike trainers, ferragamo shoes, nfl jerseys, iphone 6 plus cases, mcm handbags, soccer jerseys, new balance, nike roshe, s5 cases, iphone 6s plus cases, giuseppe zanotti, valentino shoes, p90x workout, instyler, ipad cases, longchamp, asics running shoes, nike air max, celine handbags, mac cosmetics, north face outlet, oakley, reebok shoes, wedding dresses, louboutin, bottega veneta, nike huarache, birkin bag, hollister, iphone 5s cases, timberland boots, hollister, hollister, abercrombie and fitch, north face outlet, chi flat iron, soccer shoes, iphone cases, ralph lauren, herve leger, jimmy choo shoes, baseball bats, insanity workout, ghd, iphone 6 cases, iphone 6s cases, beats by dre, lululemon, nike air max

2:09:00 AM  
Blogger ninest123 said...

louis vuitton, thomas sabo, wedding dresses, canada goose outlet, moncler, ugg pas cher, karen millen, replica watches, ugg boots uk, moncler, louis vuitton, pandora jewelry, marc jacobs, doudoune canada goose, vans, moncler, canada goose, ugg,uggs,uggs canada, louis vuitton, moncler, hollister, lancel, coach outlet, swarovski crystal, ugg,ugg australia,ugg italia, gucci, links of london, supra shoes, barbour, canada goose, juicy couture outlet, moncler, toms shoes, louis vuitton, moncler, converse outlet, pandora jewelry, barbour jackets, ray ban, canada goose uk, pandora charms, swarovski, canada goose, canada goose outlet, sac louis vuitton pas cher, canada goose, bottes ugg, pandora charms, moncler, moncler outlet, montre pas cher, juicy couture outlet, converse
ninest123 16.04

2:11:00 AM  
Anonymous Cara Alami Mengobati Flu Tulang said...

very helpful article

Pengobatan Untuk Mengangkat Miom
Pengobatan Untuk Mengangkat Kista Bartholin
Cara Alami Mengobati Candidiasis

2:47:00 AM  
Anonymous Cara Alami Mengobati Flu Tulang said...

very helpful article

Pengobatan Untuk Mengangkat Miom
Pengobatan Untuk Mengangkat Kista Bartholin
Cara Alami Mengobati Candidiasis
Pengobatan Atasi Perut Sembelit
Cara Efektif Mengobati Infeksi Paru
Tips Pengobatan Tulang Keropos

2:21:00 AM  

Post a Comment

<< Home

Blogarama - The Blog Directory Politics Blog Top Sites